I had a nice time at the FSU game on Saturday.
Fri
WVU @ Cincy (-9)
This is one of two remaining games for Cincinnati's chance to be 2009's version of Auburn about whom people seem really dismissive. I haven't really seen much of the Moutaineers this year, but Collaros looks fine and WVU hasn't beaten really anybody in any of their 7 wins. Cincy rolls.
Sat
FSU @ Wake (-5)
Wake has had the Noles' number lately, but are on a horrendous losing streat that started with us and is currently running with not one but two soul crushing defeats. Speaking of crushing things, that's what DeAndre McDaniel did to Ponder's shoulder, and that's the reason why I can't take FSU. With Ponder in, I think it's a Noles no brainer. I think FSU covers, though.
VT (-17.5) @ Maryland
VT finally started winning again last Thursday. It's a good thing their remaining schedule is easy, because it seems like it would be easy for them to lose motivation in the first year they've been out of the ACC Title game in what feels like a decade even though it's only been three years. Hokies win by default but don't cover, just because they never do.
GT (-12.5) @ Duke
A win clinches for the Ramblin' Wreck. I do'nt think they'll have much trouble winning, especially after last week's scare. I do think that the Yellow Jackets could allow like a 1000 points to a very good Duke offense, but the PeeJay3Oh can score like 1015. Tech wins and covers.
TCU (-20) @ Utah
Had I realized the spread was this wide, I probably wouldn't have picked this one. This is TCU's last hurdle, and I think they'd be in the conference conversation in like 3 or 4 BCS conferences. They win, but 20 is just too many. Utes cover.
UT @ Ole Miss (-5)
Tennessee all day and all of the night.
Stanford @ USC (-10.5)
Stanford hasn't been that great on the road, but have looked nice at home and it is hard not to be up for USC. As we saw last week, they can get the job done. Can they pull out two emotional and dominant games in a row? Why not! Go Tree!
UF (-15.5) @ South Carolina
I hope that UF wins by infinity. Not that it will stop SoCar fans from talking about how hard their SEC schedule is. I think this game will look a lot like the Georgia game and UF will win big.
Auburn @ UGa (-4.5)
I will be going to this game, and I'm pretty excited for a night game in Athens. Both of these teams are all mixed up: Auburn has better wins and worse losses and this is a weird rivalry and at home with a hungry crowd. I think the Dawgs win but the Tigers cover.
Miami (-3.5) @ UNC
UNC is quietly looking like a quality team again after a surprise win over VT and one over whta looks like it might be a bowl eligible Duke team. The UVa loss is a pretty bad one, but still, they are talented and could finish 8-4. That being said, Miami is going to crush them. Despite their two losses, they might be the best team in the ACC. Miami by two and a half touchdowns.
Clemson (-8.5) @ NCSU
Since the bye week, we are playing inspired football (minus the kicking game). Using the eyeball test, we should reasonably expect to win the rest of our regular season games. This, however, is a classic trap game. NCSU can score a ton of points and our defense, while very good, has allowed 61 points against FSU and Miami. Granted, in the other two post bye games we allowed 6 total. Our athletes are better than theirs at every position besides QB, and theirs is a game breaker. I don't think it will be enough because their defense is attrocious. Go Tigers!
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Ok, so I was a little off last week, but then, so were FSU and Army, so I can be forgiven. The good news is that Alabama secured a shot at UF in Atlanta. Hopefully they won't forget how to run the ball in the 2nd Half this year. So in the spirit of 2nd Half finishes, here we go.
ReplyDeleteWVU@Cinci - I think the Bearcats are the team to beat in the Big East, but WVU won't do it. Cinci in a close one.
FSU @ Wake - The Deacons have owned FSU the past couple of years, and Ponder is done for the season. I have no idea how well Manuel can play. We'll all find out Saturday. The thing is, that FSU has to win 2 out of the last 3 to be bowl eligible. I hope they can pull it out, but it's all going to depend on the Redshirt Freshman. FSU with the upset.
VT @ Maryland - I'm going with the Hokies.
GT @ Duke - As I've said all year, the Jackets are scary good. Duke won't know what hit them.
TCU @ Utah - The saving grace for the Horn Frogs is that it looks like there will be 2 undefeated "big" teams this year, so the annual BCS "undefeated-but-smaller-conference" screwover won't be their's this year. They'll win big.
UT @ Ole Miss - I think Vols, but in a close one. Snead is due for a good game.
Stanford @ USC - The PAC-10 has turned into the ACC. Who knows who's good? I don't see USC losing three times though, and Stanford might be playing the roll of Oregon, coming off a huge win due for a beating. USC and big.
UF @ SC - The Gators will go to Spurriers house and rub their feet all over his couch. Why? Because he can afford a new one. And in the mean time, they'll put up major points.
Auburn @ UGA - This one is between the hedges, but I think Auburn is the better team. A close one, but this one will be written "War Eagle".
Miami @ UNC - UNC has a great defense, but its offense has been a liability all season. Miami will show them how to move the ball as they'll do it all day.
Clemson @ NCSU - Clemson, despite their best efforts to give the game last week away, has appeared to finally find some rhythm. Of course, it all depends on the health of Spilner. If he's good, Clemson rolls; if not, it'll be very close, but I think the Tigers still come out on top.
Bonus Pick: VMI @ Army - Army is going to take out a lot of frustration on the Keydets, especially after the 2nd Half drubbing by AF last week. The Black Knights of the Hudson and big.
WVU @ Cincy (-9)
ReplyDeleteGo Cincy! they win and cover.
Sat
FSU @ Wake (-5)
FSU wins. They are dangerously close to not making a bowl.
VT (-17.5) @ Maryland
VT wins and covers.
GT (-12.5) @ Duke
Tech wins and covers.
TCU (-20) @ Utah
TCU wins and covers.
UT @ Ole Miss (-5)
UT wins.
Stanford @ USC (-10.5)
USC wins, no cover.
UF (-15.5) @ South Carolina
USC upsets UF. Why? Because if I clap my hands and believe, anything is possible. Just kidding. UF wins, but doesn't cover.
Auburn @ UGa (-4.5)
Dogs win and cover.
Miami (-3.5) @ UNC
UNC wins.
Clemson (-8.5) @ NCSU
Clemson wins, doesn't cover
Fri
ReplyDeleteWVU @ Cincy (-9)
Cincy will win. WVU looks like a challenge on paper, and I don't particularly like the Collaros move by Coach Kelly. But as this entire season has proven, Kelly knows what he is doing, and this is at home. Cincinnati wins and covers.
Sat
FSU @ Wake (-5)
Wake has seemingly gone in the toilet, and somehow they're still favored. It's a sad testament to the state of FSU's defense. Wake forest has smaller, speedy receivers with some wiggle but who can't necessarily go up and get the ball. Bad news against good coverage teams. Great news against FSU. EJ Manuel has high-school hype that says he can perform at a high level. But it'd be hard to see him outperform Ponder, and Ponder has led this team to a 4-5 record. Wake Forest wins, but FSU covers.
VT (-17.5) @ Maryland
Interesting fact: every single VT opponent so far this season has a winning record. Only team in FBS that can say that. 5th hardest schedule in the country, according to Sagarin. This week, VT plays the first sub-.500 team of the year. VT excels at pressuring the QB and capitalizing on QB mistakes. UMd doesn't protect the QB and he makes lots of mistakes. Let's go with VT to win and cover on the road.
GT (-12.5) @ Duke
Duke was a nice story at 3-1 in the ACC, as the foil to GT's emergence. But the 3-1 record was against weaker conference teams in UVa, UMd and NCSU. Duke has the DL size and skill to hold up against straight-ahead running teams, but GT excels at getting to the edges, where Duke's smallish back 7 will be eaten up. Look for GT to get their 300 rushing yards, and Duke's one dimensional offense to fail to keep up. GT to win and cover.
TCU (-20) @ Utah
Agree with E.S., this spread is super-wide. TCU has been rolling up teams the last few weeks, and I think they really are as good as their ranking. But even top-4 teams don't get 20 point spreads against other ranked teams on the road. TCU to win, Utah to cover.
UT @ Ole Miss (-5)
Geez, I stopped paying attention to UT after the Florida loss, and Ole Miss after the SoCar loss. Uhm, let's go with Tennessee, as Crompton seems to have stopped forcing things so much, and Ole Miss's primary pass rusher (Hardy) is out.
Stanford @ USC (-10.5)
Okay, I'm definitely sold on Stanford's coach. He's been recruiting well for a while now, but now he's winning games, and has a solid frosh QB to carry the team for a couple seasons. Does that mean they win this game? Uhhhh... Stanford is advancing in the CFB world, but I'm not sure they've arrived quite yet. I'll go with USC to win, but Stanford to cover.
UF (-15.5) @ South Carolina
This game is not interesting to me. Actually, Florida in general is not interesting to me. If they repeat, they'll be reckoned among the great dynasties of CFB history, and Tebow among the greatest players ever. But it has been joyless and mechanical. Meyer has a technician's air about him, and he takes himself way too seriously, which just turns me off. It's an interesting contrast to the irreverent fun of Spurrier. Anyway, UF will win and cover because their defense is awesome.
Auburn @ UGa (-4.5)
ReplyDeleteMeh...all the remaining SEC games are so meaningless now. If UF or Bama lose, it only tarnishes the SEC Championship hype. I cannot get excited about it at all anymore. Maybe I'm just depressed that VT is all but out of the ACC race. I think UGa wins and covers here.
Miami (-3.5) @ UNC
Miami is praying for Duke to pull off the upset, as a trip to the Championship game is the next step in their re-emergence. I'm actually glad to see Miami succeed under Shannon, as he seems to demand a higher standard from his players off the field. UNC has the best defense in the ACC, and their offense has done just enough the last two weeks by finding a power rushing option in RB Houston. But don't be fooled, UNC's QB is still suspect. I think this will be a tight game, and predictably low scoring. Picking Miami to win and cover on the road.
Clemson (-8.5) @ NCSU
Clemson yet again managed to do the exact opposite of what I predicted. I think they owe me a little bit, as their success clearly hinges on my doubt. So I'll give them the kiss of death this week: I think they will win this game. Clemson has the DL speed to chase down Wilson and keep him from extending the play, which is where he causes the most damage. Meanwhile, Parker seems to have found a groove. Clemson wins and covers.