10/22
FSU @ UNC (-2.5)
This was a game that most folks had circled in the preseason. Little did we know that both of these teams be smelling vaguely of vomit outside of an Indian restaurant (FSU) and a dead bird you found at the beach (UNC). Luckily for the Noles, the matchup is in their favor, even with the Thursday night travel. VTFerguson pointed out to me that the Atlantic has yet to beat the Coastal, but I think is a chance for it to happen.
10/24
Boston College @ Notre Dame (-8) - Holy War
Boston College somehow turned into a quality team while everyone was watching FSU meltdown. I kind of hate on Notre Dame, but they'll probably win. I think BC covers in a close one.
South Florida @ Pittsburgh (-6.5)
USF lost a good one to the Bearcats, who might be going to the national title game. The Panthers are undefeated so far, and normally wilt in games like this. I think I'll take that chance and say it happens again.
Maryland @ Duke (-5.5)
Don't laugh, but Duke is playing some impressive football right now and Maryland apparently has enough talent to beat us, but lose to Virginia. It is fun to root for Duke, but that will quickly disappear if Cutcliffe succeeds in turning them into a winner. This is a stop on Friedgen's train ride to unemployment, Devils cover.
GT (-5.5) @ UVa
Don't laugh, but Virgina has the same effect on GT that Maryland has on us. Tech is now riding awfully high after upsetting the other Tech and is praying for a Tiger victory in Miami. That would be all for naught, though, if they fail here. I think they break from tradition and pull out a squeaker. GT does not cover.
Oregon St @ USC (-20.5)
This was the OICMP game for Carroll last year in Corvallis. The Beavers are quietly having a very good season, but I think that given last year's game, they probably won't let the surprise happen again, but there is no way they cover that spread.
Iowa @ Michigan St (even)
If Sparty wins this game, then the Big Ten race becomes a jumble again and nobody asks, "What about Iowa?" anymore. I don't think that happens. Iowa looks pretty legit after that week 1 scare. I don't know how the tie breakers work in this dumb conference, but I'll be they could split this game and OSU and still play in Pasadena. Hawks win.
Arkansas @ Ole Miss (-6)
The Razorbacks neary shocked the College Football landscape last weekend in the Swamp, but the zebras slowed down their getaway. I think with Petrino's leadership they'll be angry rather than let down, and throwing on the Rebel secondary will be a treat compared to the Gators', and Mallett will go nuts. Arky wins outright on the road. Houston Nutt will be down and out and then beat somebody like LSU and everybody will be shocked, and then realize, wait, Houston Nutt does that every year.
Auburn @ LSU (-8)
Auburn's star has faded pretty quickly over the past two weeks. Night game at Baton Rouge is not the place to get things going again. Tigers win! LSU wins and covers.
Tennessee @ Alabama (-14.5) - Third Saturday in October
This my second favorite named rivalries, mostly because it is sometimes played on the Fourth Saturday in October, like this year. This game will be close, but Bama will win by less than two TDs. We will see the Bear Bryant Hat Twins like 800 times.
Bonus: TCU (-2.5) @ BYU
BYU is starting to look like a fraud with their meaningful win against Oklahoma looking less and less impressive and FSU struggling. TCU wins by an impressive margin and people start talking about what we do with an undefeated TCU and Boise State.
Clemson @ Miami (-5)
I can't believe the line is that tight. But Woo! Suck it Wake Forest. I am wondering how serious they are going to take us, because we're not quite relevant yet and Miami is Da U, even though "the" is only one letter longer than "da" and proper English while U stands for University, which is an institution of learning. A win in the Shark all but punches our ticket to Tampa, and a loss gets a lot more complicated. I look for a Richard Jackson field goal towards the end of the game to put us over the edge and Dabo Swinney does in a year and half what Tommy couldn't do in 10.
FSU-UNC: FSU (FSU)
ReplyDeleteBC-ND: ND (BC)
USF-Pitt: USF (USF)
UMd-Duke: Duke (Duke)
GT-UVa: GT (UVa)
Oregon St-USC: USC (OSU)
Iowa-MSU: Iowa
Arky-MIss: Arky (Arky)
Auburn-LSU: LSU (LSU)
UT-Bama: Bama (UT)
TCU-BYU: TCU (TCU)
Clemson-Miami: Clemson (Clemson)
FSU @ UNC (-2.5)
ReplyDeleteUNC wins and covers, showing FSU fans what true pain is.
10/24
Boston College @ Notre Dame (-8) - Holy War
Notre Dame wins in a walk. (covers)
South Florida @ Pittsburgh (-6.5)
Go bulls. USF wins.
Maryland @ Duke (-5.5)
I like Duke's chances, They win and cover.
GT (-5.5) @ UVa
Ga Tech wins and covers.
Oregon St @ USC (-20.5)
USC wins and doesn't cover.
Iowa @ Michigan St (even)
MSU wins.
Arkansas @ Ole Miss (-6)
I like Ole Miss here. They win, but only by 3.
Auburn @ LSU (-8)
LSU wins and covers.
Tennessee @ Alabama (-14.5) - Third Saturday in October
Rocky Top shocks the world! Alabama falls to an energized UT team. Once two strangers climbed old rocky top, looking for a moonshine still! Strangers ain't come down from rocky top, reckon they never will!!!
Bonus: TCU (-2.5) @ BYU
I completely agree with Brandon. Holy Cow, TCU. They are due some serious consideration after they beat up on BYU.
Clemson @ Miami (-5)
Can't pick against the best team in the ACC (arguably). Miami wins and covers.
FSU wins and covers tonight - Rest to come later
ReplyDeleteAlmost didn't get these in.
ReplyDeleteNoles, and they get rolling.
I think the Irish will take a lot of frustration out on BC and win big.
USF should beat Pitt pretty handily.
Maryland-Duke? Do I have to pick? Eh, I'll go with the fightin' Turtles.
Can't believe I forgot to pick the VT-GT game last week. GT is as dangerous a team as I've ever seen. Reminds me of the crushing option Nebraska teams of the early and mid-90s. GT and big.
USC will continue to roll the Rose Bowl over OSU.
Iowa is looking like the truth up there in the midwest. With THE Ohio State losing a Big 10 game last week, they've now got the inside track to Pasadena and that doesn't change this week against the Spartans.
Poor Arkansas. A bogus Pass Interference Call and an even worse Personal Foul cost them an otherwise great game in the Swamp. Seriously, if that's how the NCAA is going to call UF games, why not just not play until the SEC Championship in Atlanta? Anyway, they get some revenge against Ole Miss this week.
The War Eagled Tigers and the Bayeax Bengals meet up and for some reason I'm feeling Auburn. LSU's offense, or lack there of, was exposed against UF and I think Auburn takes advantage of that.
It's not a question if UT can win against Bama, it's a question if they'll still be competitive at half time? The Tide will Roll all day.
Ah, TCU-BYU. Two great perceived "middle tier" teams square off. Well, I think BYU contiunes its rally.
As much as I'd like to see Clemson win, I just don't think it's going to happen. Miami looks to be just fine, and with VTech now with a loss, they'll be even more juiced to make a push for the ACC Coastal.
And of course; the Army bonus pick. Tomorrow (Friday Night) Army plays a nationally televised game against Rutgers up at Michie Stadium. Should be a good one, and Army should win to return to .500.
10/24
ReplyDeleteBoston College @ Notre Dame (-8) - Holy War
BC has won six straight. Don't see a blowout here: ND wins, BC covers.
South Florida @ Pittsburgh (-6.5)
USF's young QB will eventually be real good. But he's been thrust into service when he's not ready. Picking Pittsburgh to win and cover.
Maryland @ Duke (-5.5)
Here's the test for Cutcliffe: can you win when everyone expects you to? Couldn't against Richmond earlier this season. I think Duke is turning a corner, and wins against a disfunctional UMd team. Maryland covers tho.
GT (-5.5) @ UVa
UVa's "turnaround" is somewhat of a mirage, coming against an offensively challenged UNC team, mediocre Indiana and aforementioned Maryland. Going with Georgia Tech to win and cover.
Oregon St @ USC (-20.5)
Not convinced USC's offense can hold up the bargain to match this spread. Oregon St runs the ball, milks the clock and keeps the scoreboard from getting out of hand, but USC wins this easily. USC win, OSU cover.
Iowa @ Michigan St (even)
These spreads don't make any sense. I'll go against my preseason pick: I think Iowa will win.
Arkansas @ Ole Miss (-6)
Ole Miss needs Snead to wake up, but it won't happen. Snead isn't just making bad decisions, he's also really inaccurate (49% completion). Those sorts of problems don't go away quickly: Arkansas wins and covers.
Auburn @ LSU (-8)
Bloom is off the rose as Auburn's offense has failed to overcome a defense that's been consistently shaky. Good thing for Auburn, LSU doesn't have an offense to exploit that clear weakness. I'll take Auburn to pull the minor upset, winning and covering.
Tennessee @ Alabama (-14.5) - Third Saturday in October
Bama crush kill destroy, strengthening their case for #1. Bama wins and covers.
Bonus: TCU (-2.5) @ BYU
Picking TCU to win and cover on a last second FG to win.
Clemson @ Miami (-5)
The WF game can't mask the truth: Parker is not very good at QB (104th in efficiency). They basically blew out Wake by taking the ball out of his hands (only 17 att) and letting the D dominate. They'll likely need more out of him in this game, but won't get it: Miami wins and covers here.
Trying to catch up a little...
ReplyDeleteMe: 10/12, 8/12 ATS (50/91, 47/91 ATS)
SHatter: 6/12, 5/12 ATS (49/91, 39/91 ATS)
VTFerguson: 9/12, 7/12 ATS (39/78, 29/78 ATS)
Jackalt45: 6/12 (20/35)