This weekend, though, is pretty much the all-SEC weekend, as far as interesting matchups go. Since we're off, I'll pick the surrogate team I've been loving on, Oregon. The big news out of Eugene is that they might reinstate Blount for the Stanford game. I think he's lucky to get it, and that's Oregon's business, but if they feel like he's done enough, then I wish him the best.
Also, I think that excessive celebration penalties are dumb. And makeup calls, too.
We had a newcomer last week, let's take a look at how we all did:
Me: 7/12, 5/12 ATS (24/57 [42%], 25/57 [44%] ATS)
SHatter: 5/12, 3/12 ATS (29/57 [51%], 25/57 [44%] ATS)
VTFerguson: 5/12, 4/12 ATS (18/46 [39%], 18/46 [39%] ATS)
IbisFan33: Didn't play this week (20/34 [59%], 14/34 [41%] ATS)
Jackalt45: 5/12 (really 13, but I'll let him slide, even though he didn't pick against the spread)
Games
BC @ VT (-13.5)
I am pretty surprised by BC's wn ove the Noles, but don't really see them winning again. VT wins by the length of the Hokies' wattle. BC covers.
Auburn (-2.5) @ Arkansas
Auburn is on a tear right now. Arkansas's defense s not nearly as good as UT's. So Auburn? Yes and please.
Maryland @ Wake Forest (-11)
I hate Testudo. It would be kind of reassuring to see the Terps win, so we can have some sort of hope that maybe we lost to a team that isn't abysmal, but I on't think that's the way it's gonna be. I had this whole thing written about a Deac stomping on a turtle shell and kicking it like in Mario, but the spread is 11 and that's just too many. Maryland covers.
Houston @ Mississippi State (-1)
This is a really weird matchup. Houston just got beat by UTEP. MSU was one play away from beating LSU. What do we do? Cougars, I guess.
Georgia @ Tennessee (-1)
Lane Kiffin better win a game or the Vols are going to start to feel kind of ridiculous. (Start? Who sad that?) Too bad this won't be it. Gnger Ninja wins and AJ Green gets flagged for celebrating on Rocky Top for no real reason.
Alabama (-5.5) @ Ole Miss
I am starting to come around to the idea that Alabama might be the best team in the country. Ole Miss needs to show some spunk. But at less than a touchdown, I would put all kinds of money on the Tide.
Kentucky @ South Carolina (-10)
It is hard to tell how good (bad) Kentucky is (or SoCar, for that matter) because we don't have a lot to go on. UK beat two crappy teams and lost to the two best teams in the nation. South Carolina surprised some (read: me) by beating Ole Miss and NC State. I think the Cocks win, but I don't think their defense is as good as people think it is. Cats cover.
Vanderbilt (-10.5) @ Army
Vandy, I guess. You're welcome, Jackalt45.
Oregon (-3.5) @ UCLA
A rare Pac10 road win happens here. Oregon looks like it got over its hiccups in Boise. Look for the Ducks to punch the Bruins when they are not looking by more than 4 points.
GT @ FSU (-2.5)
The marquee ACC game of the weekend puts the Triple Option up against the Triple Losers (I can say that because Clemson has 3 losses too). The Noles had one stolen right at the last minute on a fumble in the end zone. I think Tech is gonna do what they do and run for literally a zillion yards and win this game. Bonus Prediction: FSU fans stop laughing at the Allstate commercial with the Bobby Bowden grill.
Florida (-7.5) @ Louisiana State
Two of the four remaining unbeatens in the SEC meet up for the biggest game of the weekend. LSU looked just good enough against an average to bad Georgia defense and nearly choked the game away. It is unclear if the Gators have actually been trying n any of their games so far. Yes, Tebow got concussed and vomited and it shouldn't be funny, but we're only human, right? I think UF is good enough to win with or without Tebow, but I think the Tigers keep it close enough to cover.
Summary: winner (ats)
ReplyDeleteBC-VT: VT (BC)
Auburn-Arkansas: Auburn (Auburn)
Maryland-Wake: Wake (Md)
Houston-MSU: UH (UH)
UGa-UT: UGa (UGa)
Bama-Miss: Bama (Bama)
UK-SoCar: SoCar (UK)
Vandy-Army: Vandy (Vandy)
Oregon-UCLA: Oregon (Oregon)
GT-FSU: GT (GT)
UF-LSU: UF (LSU)
BC @ VT (-13.5)
ReplyDeleteVT wins and covers.
Auburn (-2.5) @ Arkansas
Auburn wins and covers.
Maryland @ Wake Forest (-11)
WF wins, but doesn't cover.
Houston @ Mississippi State (-1)
This will be one of the best games of the week, and it will result in MSU winning by 14.
Georgia @ Tennessee (-1)
Rocky Top beats Georgia top and covers.
Alabama (-5.5) @ Ole Miss
I should pick Bama, so I will. But Ole Miss keeps it close, Bama by 3.
Kentucky @ South Carolina (-10)
South Carolina wins and covers.
Vanderbilt (-10.5) @ Army
Vandy better win and cover.
Oregon (-3.5) @ UCLA
UCLA wins and wins big. Oregon blows.
GT @ FSU (-2.5)
With a trustee saying the Bowden era is over, FSU is going to lose a great portion of their following. Jimbo Fisher will not deliver what he is expected to deliver. FSU loses this game, they lose it big. Another disappointing Seminole Performance. Expect Seminole Pride Nullified. FSU could go 4-8 this year.
Florida (-7.5) @ Louisiana State
UF wins and covers. Brantley is one of the best QBs in the SEC right now, and he's Tebow's backup. UF wins and wins big. LSU isn't that good.
BC-VT - BC deserves credit for ditching their first QB before it was too late (Paying attention Clemson?). Spaz has always played VT close. However, VT is just more talented, and they win at home. VT wins, BC covers.
ReplyDeleteAuburn-Arkansas - Not getting off the Malzahn bandwagon until it fails me. Or until Alabama. Auburn wins and covers.
Maryland-Wake - Geez this spread is wide. Wake has a habit of playing at the level of their competition, for good and bad. Wake wins, UMd covers.
Houston-MSU - Houston has a big offense. But their Achilles is that they NEED one to overcome their horrid defense. Miss St can score a bit, and will win and cover.
UGa-UT - Tennessee just ain't that good. Not this season, anyway. UGa wins and covers on the road.
Bama-Miss - I think that 'Bama is the most complete team in football so far this season. They win by two TDs and (hopefully) steal some #1 votes from Florida.
UK-SoCar - SoCar has entered the rankings, but their annual flameout won't kick in until next week. SoCar wins and covers.
Vandy-Army - Army had a glimmer earlier this season, but I think that a long season does no favors for this undermanned team. Vandy wins and covers.
Oregon-UCLA - Oregon is crushing and killing the last couple weeks. UCLA's D is better than what Oregon has played the last couple weeks. Doesn't matter, as UCLA's thinness at QB loses them the game. Oregon to win and cover.
GT-FSU - Florida State's demise is old news to everyone except apparently their trustees. This hasn't been the same program for some time now. GT seems to have found a new groove on offense. I'll pick GT to win and cover.
UF-LSU - Biggest game of the weekend, by rankings anyway. LSU is getting lots of guff for winning in closer fashion than expected. But in my opinion, Florida has been just as unimpressive against worse competition. This is a case where both teams have roughly the same talent level, with UF having an edge in experience, cohesiveness, and probably coaching. But LSU has the most intimidating homefield in the SEC, and probably nationwide. I'm going out on a limb here, and picking LSU to put it all together for one night and win outright, ending the Greatest Team Ever? debate before ESPN can rev up the hype machine.